Wednesday, February 8, 2012

How Uganda can avoid the “oil curse”

Recently, 2.5 million barrels of oil were discovered in the Albertine Graben in Western Uganda.  Hence, it is estimated that Uganda will be able to support production of over 100,000 barrels of oil per day for 20 years.

For ordinary Ugandans, this news has been welcomed with two distinctive forms; the positive and the negative.  In the case of oil discovery, the positive expectations are truly hopes that the valued resource and the associated revenues will deliver substantial social, economic and infrastructural improvements, whilst liberating Ugandans from poverty by boosting economic growth.

Negative expectations also exist since resource abundance is considered a “curse.” While oil discovery presents considerable opportunities, it also carries a risk commonly known as the natural resource curse - a situation where abundance of tradable natural resources such as oil ironically leads to economic stagnation, the death of other traditional and non-traditional exports such as agricultural and manufactured products, and conflicts over the allocation of resources.

This has been witnessed by some African countries for instance Nigeria – which pumped her first barrels of oil in the early 1950s and has since set world records in corruption; and Angola, whose story is just as sad!  Despite the huge revenue generated from oil, 70% of Angolans live below the poverty line.

Already, the oil sector in Uganda is toppled with many corruption scandals; with some leading to the suspension of new deals between Uganda and foreign oil companies and to the censorship of four ministers by the 9th Parliament.
This only means that a country like Uganda, which is new in the oil sector, needs to draw lessons from countries that have a reputation for better governance and are blessed with favorable fundamentals.

Ghana is one such a country. She produces 120,000 barrels of oil daily, which is close to Uganda’s 100,000. Ghana discovered oil in 2006 after decades of exploration. To a large extent, she has managed the sector well.

So, what lessons can Uganda learn from Ghana to avoid causing the wretchedness associated with corruption, civil and armed strife, and poverty plus chaos that have left some other African countries ruined? Here are a few suggestions:

Ensure transparency of revenue and distribution of allocations; the Ghanaian government has really tried to make public all the documentation that form part of the oil bidding process. This has made the political capture of oil rents and general corruption in the sector much difficult to accomplish.

Institute constitutional governance; the Ugandan government can learn from Ghana, which has tried to involve every citizen to make inputs towards the exploitation of the resource to promote good primacy of the sector.

Invest in the sector; the Ugandan government can institute policies that position it as a key stakeholder in the oil sector. Ghana’s National Petroleum Corporation’s objective is to “become a world class company that partners with the international petroleum industry to enable Ghana find and develop oil and gas resources for the benefit of the people of Ghana as well as our partners who share in the exciting expedition.” This has ensured that the Ghanaian government not only gets money from its shares in the oil fields, but also is fully involved in the oil’s exploration and drilling.

The Ugandan government should also use the revenues it gets from oil to fund demonstrable social projects that benefit society; by giving priority to the most under deserved communities like the Ghanaian government has tried to do. In a recent interview in a local newspaper, Mr. Bob Ken, a Ghanaian Lawyer, and Governance and Management Analyst noted that “people’s expectations can be best managed by building infrastructure like roads, health centers and school and setting up of hi-tech industries to provide employment opportunities and to improve the standard of living.”

Other lessons that Uganda can learn from Ghana include;

  • Sensitize masses about the oil sector since they anticipate some “rapid and unrealistic expectations” in economic growth like the way it has been done in Ghana to avoid social unrest. 
  • Develop methods and policies that control oil revenues for instance The Petroleum Revenue Management Act (PRMA), which was passed by Parliament and assented to by the President of the Republic of Ghana in April 2011 to avoid mismanagement of public funds.

With the above few strategies, Ghana has enjoyed praises when it comes to managing its oil sector. I am therefor certain that Uganda can pick a leaf or two from this, to avoid the natural resource curse!

Friday, February 4, 2011

SOLEMN or SASSY, Women Have Always Had Something Important to Say



Lately, I have been obsessed about reading biographies of famous women activists, what they had to do/say to get their message out there, the challenges they faced and the victories they celebrated.

Having grown up in a generation where the revitalization of the women's movement was the ‘in-thing’, I used to think it was a yesteryear phenomenon, just until now. I was surprised to learn from the National Women's History that it goes way back in the 1840s, marking 13th of July 1848 as its evolution.

On that sweltering summer day in upstate New York, a young housewife and mother, Elizabeth Cady Stanton, was invited to tea with four women friends. When the course of their conversation turned to the situation of women, Stanton poured out her discontent with the limitations placed on her own situation under America's new democracy. Stanton's friends agreed with her, passionately.

I think that this was definitely not the first small group of women who gathered to have such a conversation, but it was the first to plan and carry out a specific, large-scale program.

And also the likes of Rosa Parks, who was a modest seamstress on her way home from work when she refused to give up her seat on a bus in Montgomery, Alabama. That single act of defiance on December 1st 1955 is remembered as the start of the civil rights movement and she is respectfully remembered as the mother of the civil rights movement.

Today, even in Africa, we have lots of Stantons and Parks, who are patriotic women, sharing the ideal of creating a world, where women can enjoy equal rights with men. They see their mission as helping fellow women, who can’t speak for themselves and who can not keep promises of better and more egalitarian lives. They are living the legacy of women's rights that eight generations of women before them gave their best to achieve. Alice Paul, that intrepid organizer who first wrote out the Equal Rights Amendment in 1923, said, "I always feel the movement is sort of a mosaic. Each of us puts in one little stone, and then you get a great mosaic at the end." 

African women, acting together, adding their small stones to the grand mosaic, have increased their rights against all odds, nonviolently, from an initial position of powerlessness. They have a lot to be proud of in this heroic legacy, and a great deal to celebrate. They have clearly been successful in irrevocably changing the circumstances and hopes of fellow women.

In the world of work, large numbers of women have entered the professions, the trades, and businesses of every kind. Ranks of the clergy, the politicians, the specialists, the military, the newsroom and else where have been opened up for women from their ‘traditional’ roles of house chores.

However, though much has been accomplished, a lot still remains to be done since substantial barriers to the full equality of Africa's women still remains before their freedom. The remaining injustices can/are being tackled daily in the courts and conference rooms, in homes and organizations, local communities, workplaces and playing fields of different states in the continent.

And with this entire going on, we should never doubt that a small group of thoughtful, committed citizens can change the world because indeed, it's the only thing that ever has! That was Margaret Mead's conclusion after a lifetime of observing very diverse cultures around the world. Her insight has been borne out time and again throughout the development of this whole movement.